"Organizations drift when risk is reframed as acceptable variance.
The most expensive failures are quiet ones: a series of decisions that were defensible in the moment and disastrous in combination. In a dependency upgrade with unknown blast radius, nobody wakes up wanting the incident; they wake up wanting the shortcut.
In a dependency upgrade with unknown blast radius, the argument will be that you are “unblocking” the team. Unblocking without a guardrail is how you create debt that cannot be paid down quietly. Do not hide the tradeoff in prose; make it two lines so it stays readable when time is short.
Barry Turner is a reminder to audit the argument, not the intention. Put the assumption into words, then choose the signal that forces you to revisit it. Make it specific enough that a peer can disagree.