"Organizations adapt to measurement faster than to reality.
Read the quote as instruction, not as comfort. In a dependency upgrade with unknown blast radius, the word organizations is where the cost hides. If you miss it, you will pay it later.
In a dependency upgrade with unknown blast radius, you can do everything “right” locally and still make the global system worse. The seams are where the cost lands. You see it in audit checklists that get optimized while real quality stays flat. Make the signal observable, not philosophical, so you can act without debating intentions.
Jerry Z. Muller is a reminder to keep it concrete. Surface the assumption the plan depends on and name the first signal that would prove it wrong. End with one move, not three.